18+
← Matchweek 37
MCIManchester CityWWWWW
KICK-OFF15:00Sunday 23 May
Etihad Stadium
AVLAston VillaLLDLW

Match preview

Manchester City (1st, 15 pts) host Aston Villa (16th, 4 pts) at Etihad Stadium on Sunday 23 May, kick-off 15:00.

Manchester City are in excellent form, having won 5 of their last five league games (scored 13, conceded 5). Aston Villa are looking for a response, having won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last five league games (scored 4, conceded 9).

The last league meeting, in May 2026, finished Manchester City 1–2 Aston Villa.

Varless AI expects around 2.3 goals for Man City and 1.0 for Aston Villa, making Man City 67% to win, the draw 19% and Aston Villa 14%. The numbers point to goals, with over 2.5 at 63%.

Win probabilities

Expected goals 2.29 – 0.95
OUTCOMEAIMARKET MCI win67%–Draw19%–AVL win14%–Over 2.563%–Under 2.537%–BTTS yes56%–BTTS no44%–

"AI" blends Varless AI's own ratings with the market (currently 30% model); "Market" is the bookmakers' average with their margin removed.

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