18+
← Matchweek 36
AVLAston VillaLLDLW
KICK-OFF15:00Saturday 15 May
Villa Park
NEWNewcastle UnitedDWDLW

Match preview

Aston Villa (16th, 4 pts) host Newcastle United (9th, 8 pts) at Villa Park on Saturday 15 May, kick-off 15:00.

Aston Villa are looking for a response, having won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last five league games (scored 4, conceded 9). Newcastle United are in mixed form, having won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last five league games (scored 9, conceded 9).

The last league meeting, in January 2026, finished Newcastle United 0–2 Aston Villa.

Varless AI expects around 1.8 goals for Aston Villa and 1.4 for Newcastle, making Aston Villa 46% to win, the draw 24% and Newcastle 30%. The numbers point to goals, with over 2.5 at 61%.

Win probabilities

Expected goals 1.75 – 1.39
OUTCOMEAIMARKET AVL win46%–Draw24%–NEW win30%–Over 2.561%–Under 2.539%–BTTS yes63%–BTTS no37%–

"AI" blends Varless AI's own ratings with the market (currently 30% model); "Market" is the bookmakers' average with their margin removed.

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