18+
← Matchweek 21
AVLAston VillaLLDLW
KICK-OFF15:00Saturday 16 January
Villa Park
MUNManchester UnitedLWDLD

Match preview

Aston Villa (16th, 4 pts) host Manchester United (12th, 5 pts) at Villa Park on Saturday 16 January, kick-off 15:00.

Aston Villa are looking for a response, having won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last five league games (scored 4, conceded 9). Manchester United are in mixed form, having won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last five league games (scored 8, conceded 8).

The last league meeting, in March 2026, finished Manchester United 3–1 Aston Villa.

Varless AI expects around 1.5 goals for Aston Villa and 1.6 for Man Utd, making Aston Villa 35% to win, the draw 25% and Man Utd 40%. The numbers point to goals, with over 2.5 at 61%.

Win probabilities

Expected goals 1.52 – 1.64
OUTCOMEAIMARKET AVL win35%–Draw25%–MUN win40%–Over 2.561%–Under 2.539%–BTTS yes64%–BTTS no37%–

"AI" blends Varless AI's own ratings with the market (currently 30% model); "Market" is the bookmakers' average with their margin removed.

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