18+
← Matchweek 17
NEWNewcastle UnitedDWDLW
KICK-OFF20:00Saturday 26 December
St. James' Park
MCIManchester CityWWWWW

Match preview

Newcastle United (9th, 8 pts) host Manchester City (1st, 15 pts) at St. James' Park on Saturday 26 December, kick-off 20:00.

Newcastle United are in mixed form, having won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last five league games (scored 9, conceded 9). Manchester City are in excellent form, having won 5 of their last five league games (scored 13, conceded 5).

The last league meeting, in February 2026, finished Manchester City 2–1 Newcastle United.

Varless AI expects around 1.2 goals for Newcastle and 2.0 for Man City, making Newcastle 22% to win, the draw 22% and Man City 56%. The numbers point to goals, with over 2.5 at 63%.

Win probabilities

Expected goals 1.22 – 2.03
OUTCOMEAIMARKET NEW win22%–Draw22%–MCI win56%–Over 2.563%–Under 2.537%–BTTS yes62%–BTTS no38%–

"AI" blends Varless AI's own ratings with the market (currently 30% model); "Market" is the bookmakers' average with their margin removed.

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