18+
← Matchweek 17
AVLAston VillaLLDLW
KICK-OFF12:30Saturday 26 December
Villa Park
LEELeeds UnitedWDDWD

Match preview

Aston Villa (16th, 4 pts) host Leeds United (5th, 9 pts) at Villa Park on Saturday 26 December, kick-off 12:30.

Aston Villa are looking for a response, having won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last five league games (scored 4, conceded 9). Leeds United are unbeaten, having won 2 and drawn 3 of their last five league games (scored 7, conceded 3).

The last league meeting, in February 2026, finished Aston Villa 1–1 Leeds United.

Varless AI expects around 1.4 goals for Aston Villa and 1.2 for Leeds, making Aston Villa 41% to win, the draw 27% and Leeds 32%.

Win probabilities

Expected goals 1.42 – 1.22
OUTCOMEAIMARKET AVL win41%–Draw27%–LEE win32%–Over 2.549%–Under 2.551%–BTTS yes54%–BTTS no46%–

"AI" blends Varless AI's own ratings with the market (currently 30% model); "Market" is the bookmakers' average with their margin removed.

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