18+
← Matchweek 8
AVLAston VillaLLDLW
KICK-OFF12:30Saturday 24 October
Villa Park
MCIManchester CityWWWWW

Match preview

Aston Villa (16th, 4 pts) host Manchester City (1st, 15 pts) at Villa Park on Saturday 24 October, kick-off 12:30.

Aston Villa are looking for a response, having won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last five league games (scored 4, conceded 9). Manchester City are in excellent form, having won 5 of their last five league games (scored 13, conceded 5).

The last league meeting, in May 2026, finished Manchester City 1–2 Aston Villa.

Varless AI expects around 1.2 goals for Aston Villa and 1.9 for Man City, making Aston Villa 23% to win, the draw 24% and Man City 53%. The numbers point to goals, with over 2.5 at 58%.

Win probabilities

Expected goals 1.16 – 1.87
OUTCOMEAIMARKET AVL win23%–Draw24%–MCI win53%–Over 2.558%–Under 2.542%–BTTS yes59%–BTTS no41%–

"AI" blends Varless AI's own ratings with the market (currently 30% model); "Market" is the bookmakers' average with their margin removed.

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